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Impact of COVID-19 on CORSIA: will the baseline change?

03/06/2020



As per the SARPs, the CORSIA baseline is calculated as the average of international emissions in the years 2019 and 2020. However, because of the significant impact of the COVID-19 crisis on international traffic and related emissions, the baseline is now expected to be much lower than originally envisaged when CORSIA was designed.

Some call on ICAO to change the rule and only use the year 2019 as the baseline. As it may take several years for the traffic to come back to pre-COVID-19 levels, this may result in no offsetting obligations during several years, which would de facto delay the implementation of CORSIA.

Others call on ICAO not to change anything and keep the original baseline, which may result in a higher financial burden for the airlines than originally expected.

The 220th session of the ICAO Council is planned to meet between 8 and 26 June 2020 to discuss this issue and other relevant matters.

> Visit ICAO's CORSIA and COVID-19 web page

Want to learn more and make up your mind about this difficult and timely topic?

Read the following research papers and articles...

In favor of a switch to 2019:

> IATA position paper (March version) (May version) (website article)
> Proposal from the European Commission (Annex to the proposal) (related GreenAir Online article)
> Position from the Council of the EU (9 June 2020) (related GreenAir Online article)
> Position from the US (Reuters)

In favor of a statu quo:

> Position paper from EDF (Environmental Defense Fund) (slides) (blog) (related GreenAir Online article)
> Open letter by carbon market stakeholders (website article)
> Position paper from the European Parliament
> Research paper from Öko-Institut (website article)
COVID-19’s big impact on ICAO’s CORSIA baseline (ICCT)
CORSIA: 5 reasons why the ICAO Council shouldn’t move now to rewrite the rules of its aviation climate program (EDF)
> CORSIA: CORSIA: No, the ICAO Council can’t legally change CORSIA’s rules (EDF)
> Open letter to ICAO by ICSA

Other articles and research papers:

“Will Covid-19 kill CORSIA?, Refinitiv Carbon Research, June 2020”
> Analysis by ECAC of the options for adjusting the CORSIA baseline

However, it is possible that no decision will be made in June, and that the decision will be taken at the next ICAO Council meeting scheduled in the fall, or even at the next ICAO General Assembly in 2022. Back to all Verifavia News